:Product: 0203RSGA.txt :Issued: 2007 Feb 03 2204 UTC # Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, # Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force. # Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity SDF Number 034 Issued at 2200Z on 03 Feb 2007 IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 02/2100Z to 03/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. No flares were observed during the past 24 hours. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low with a chance for an isolated C-class event. IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 02/2100Z to 03/2100Z: The geomagnetic field was mostly quiet during the past 24 hours. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux reached high levels. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be predominantly quiet for the next three days (4-6 February) III. Event Probabilities 04 Feb-06 Feb Class M 05/05/05 Class X 01/01/01 Proton 01/01/01 PCAF green IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux Observed 03 Feb 087 Predicted 04 Feb-06 Feb 088/088/088 90 Day Mean 03 Feb 085 V. Geomagnetic A Indices Observed Afr/Ap 02 Feb 002/002 Estimated Afr/Ap 03 Feb 005/005 Predicted Afr/Ap 04 Feb-06 Feb 005/005-005/005-005/008 VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 04 Feb-06 Feb A. Middle Latitudes Active 15/15/15 Minor storm 05/05/05 Major-severe storm 01/01/01 B. High Latitudes Active 15/15/15 Minor storm 05/05/05 Major-severe storm 01/01/01