:Product: 0204RSGA.txt :Issued: 2007 Feb 04 2204 UTC # Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, # Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force. # Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity SDF Number 035 Issued at 2200Z on 04 Feb 2007 IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 03/2100Z to 04/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. No flares occurred during the past 24 hours. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low with just a slight chance for an isolated C-class event. IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 03/2100Z to 04/2100Z: The geomagnetic field was quiet during the past 24 hours. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux was at high levels. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be predominantly quiet for the next three days. III. Event Probabilities 05 Feb-07 Feb Class M 01/01/01 Class X 01/01/01 Proton 01/01/01 PCAF green IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux Observed 04 Feb 084 Predicted 05 Feb-07 Feb 084/084/084 90 Day Mean 04 Feb 085 V. Geomagnetic A Indices Observed Afr/Ap 03 Feb 001/003 Estimated Afr/Ap 04 Feb 005/005 Predicted Afr/Ap 05 Feb-07 Feb 005/005-005/008-005/005 VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 05 Feb-07 Feb A. Middle Latitudes Active 15/15/15 Minor storm 05/05/05 Major-severe storm 01/01/01 B. High Latitudes Active 15/15/15 Minor storm 05/05/05 Major-severe storm 01/01/01