:Product: 0502RSGA.txt :Issued: 2007 May 02 2203 UTC # Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, # Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force. # Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity SDF Number 122 Issued at 2200Z on 02 May 2007 IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 01/2100Z to 02/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. Region 953 (S10W17) produced several B-class flares during the past 24 hours. The largest was a B8 at 02/1602Z. This region is currently classified as a beta magnetic spot group. Region 954 (S06E01) also produced a few low level B-class flares. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low to low with a slight chance for an isolated M-class flare. IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 01/2100Z to 02/2100Z: The geomagnetic field was quiet. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit remained at high levels today. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be predominantly quiet for the next three days. III. Event Probabilities 03 May-05 May Class M 10/10/10 Class X 01/01/01 Proton 01/01/01 PCAF Green IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux Observed 02 May 087 Predicted 03 May-05 May 085/085/085 90 Day Mean 02 May 074 V. Geomagnetic A Indices Observed Afr/Ap 01 May 005/008 Estimated Afr/Ap 02 May 002/005 Predicted Afr/Ap 03 May-05 May 005/005-005/005-005/005 VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 03 May-05 May A. Middle Latitudes Active 10/10/10 Minor storm 05/05/05 Major-severe storm 01/01/01 B. High Latitudes Active 15/15/15 Minor storm 05/05/05 Major-severe storm 01/01/01