:Product: 0509RSGA.txt :Issued: 2007 May 09 2203 UTC # Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, # Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force. # Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity SDF Number 129 Issued at 2200Z on 09 May 2007 IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 08/2100Z to 09/2100Z: Solar activity has been very low. Region 955 (S10E22) was designated today. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low to low with a slight chance for an M-flare from Region 955. IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 08/2100Z to 09/2100Z: The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be predominately quiet 10 - 12 May. III. Event Probabilities 10 May-12 May Class M 10/10/10 Class X 01/01/01 Proton 01/01/01 PCAF Green IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux Observed 09 May 072 Predicted 10 May-12 May 070/070/070 90 Day Mean 09 May 074 V. Geomagnetic A Indices Observed Afr/Ap 08 May 011/014 Estimated Afr/Ap 09 May 004/008 Predicted Afr/Ap 10 May-12 May 004/005-004/005-004/005 VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 10 May-12 May A. Middle Latitudes Active 15/15/15 Minor storm 05/05/05 Major-severe storm 01/01/01 B. High Latitudes Active 20/20/20 Minor storm 10/10/10 Major-severe storm 05/05/05