:Product: 0606RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2007 Jun 06 2203 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 157 Issued at 2200Z on 06 Jun 2007
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  05/2100Z
to 06/2100Z:  Solar activity was low. Region 960 (S07E11), now in
decay, produced a C9/2f at 1725 UTC. The region has simplified in
white light and h-alpha. Magnetically the region is now classified
as beta-gamma.  Otherwise, there is little of significance on the
visible disk.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to persist
at low levels. However, there is a reasonable chance of an isolated
M-class flare from Region 960.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 05/2100Z to 06/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet. Slow solar wind (approximately 340
km/s) is currently buffeting the magnetosphere. The GOES greater
than 2 MeV energetic electron flux reached high levels once again.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet for the next three days.
III.  Event Probabilities 07 Jun-09 Jun
Class M    40/40/40
Class X    10/10/10
Proton     10/10/10
PCAF       green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           06 Jun 085
Predicted   07 Jun-09 Jun  085/085/080
90 Day Mean        06 Jun 074
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 05 Jun  002/003
Estimated Afr/Ap 06 Jun  003/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 07 Jun-09 Jun  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 07 Jun-09 Jun
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                15/15/15
Minor storm           05/05/05
Major-severe storm    01/01/02
B.  High Latitudes
Active                20/20/20
Minor storm           10/10/10
Major-severe storm    01/01/01