:Product: 0803RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2007 Aug 03 2202 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 215 Issued at 2200Z on 03 Aug 2007
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  02/2100Z
to 03/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low. No flares occurred. New
Region 966 (S04E74) rotated into view today and is a simple, H-type
sunspot group.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 02/2100Z to 03/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux
at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels during the past 24
hours.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet for the next two days (4-5 August). Conditions
should be mostly quiet on day 3 (6 August) but an increase to
unsettled is possible late in the day due to the onset of a high
speed solar wind stream.
III.  Event Probabilities 04 Aug-06 Aug
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       Green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           03 Aug 070
Predicted   04 Aug-06 Aug  070/070/070
90 Day Mean        03 Aug 072
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 02 Aug  005/005
Estimated Afr/Ap 03 Aug  005/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 04 Aug-06 Aug  005/005-005/005-007/010
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 04 Aug-06 Aug
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                10/10/15
Minor storm           05/05/10
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                10/10/25
Minor storm           05/05/15
Major-severe storm    01/01/05