:Product: 0906RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2007 Sep 06 2203 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 249 Issued at 2200Z on 06 Sep 2007
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  05/2100Z
to 06/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low.  No significant flares
were observed during the last 24 hours.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 05/2100Z to 06/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled.  The greater than 2 MeV
electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels again
today.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to active, with minor storm periods possible at
high latitudes on 7 September due to a recurrent coronal hole. 
Quiet to unsettled conditions will prevail on 8 September.  Expect
quiet conditions to return on 9 September.
III.  Event Probabilities 07 Sep-09 Sep
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       Green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           06 Sep 067
Predicted   07 Sep-09 Sep  067/067/067
90 Day Mean        06 Sep 070
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 05 Sep  010/012
Estimated Afr/Ap 06 Sep  010/015
Predicted Afr/Ap 07 Sep-09 Sep  008/010-005/005-005/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 07 Sep-09 Sep
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                15/10/10
Minor storm           05/05/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                25/15/10
Minor storm           10/05/05
Major-severe storm    05/01/01