:Product: 1005RSGA.txt :Issued: 2007 Oct 05 2203 UTC # Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, # Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force. # Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity SDF Number 278 Issued at 2200Z on 05 Oct 2007 IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 04/2100Z to 05/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. The visible disk remains spotless. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low. IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 04/2100Z to 05/2100Z: The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels again today. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet for the forecast period, 06 - 08 October. III. Event Probabilities 06 Oct-08 Oct Class M 01/01/01 Class X 01/01/01 Proton 01/01/01 PCAF green IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux Observed 05 Oct 068 Predicted 06 Oct-08 Oct 067/067/067 90 Day Mean 05 Oct 069 V. Geomagnetic A Indices Observed Afr/Ap 04 Oct 008/010 Estimated Afr/Ap 05 Oct 004/005 Predicted Afr/Ap 06 Oct-08 Oct 004/005-004/005-004/005 VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 06 Oct-08 Oct A. Middle Latitudes Active 15/15/15 Minor storm 05/05/05 Major-severe storm 01/01/01 B. High Latitudes Active 20/15/15 Minor storm 15/10/10 Major-severe storm 05/05/05