:Product: 1006RSGA.txt :Issued: 2007 Oct 06 2203 UTC # Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, # Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force. # Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity SDF Number 279 Issued at 2200Z on 06 Oct 2007 IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 05/2100Z to 06/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. Newly numbered Region 972 (S05W06) emerged on the disk and is currently a small C-type sunspot group. It produced a B1 flare at 05/2307Z. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low. IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 05/2100Z to 06/2100Z: The geomagnetic field was quiet. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit remained at high levels today. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet for the next three days (07-09 October.) III. Event Probabilities 07 Oct-09 Oct Class M 01/01/01 Class X 01/01/01 Proton 01/01/01 PCAF green IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux Observed 06 Oct 069 Predicted 07 Oct-09 Oct 067/067/067 90 Day Mean 06 Oct 069 V. Geomagnetic A Indices Observed Afr/Ap 05 Oct 005/007 Estimated Afr/Ap 06 Oct 004/005 Predicted Afr/Ap 07 Oct-09 Oct 005/005-005/005-005/005 VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 07 Oct-09 Oct A. Middle Latitudes Active 05/05/05 Minor storm 01/01/01 Major-severe storm 01/01/01 B. High Latitudes Active 10/10/10 Minor storm 01/01/01 Major-severe storm 01/01/01