:Product: 1014RSGA.txt :Issued: 2007 Oct 14 2202 UTC # Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, # Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force. # Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity SDF Number 287 Issued at 2200Z on 14 Oct 2007 IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 13/2100Z to 14/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low. IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 13/2100Z to 14/2100Z: The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be predominately quiet for 15-16 October. Quiet to unsettled conditions, with a chance for isolated active periods, are expected for 17 October due to a recurrent coronal hole. III. Event Probabilities 15 Oct-17 Oct Class M 01/01/01 Class X 01/01/01 Proton 01/01/01 PCAF Green IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux Observed 14 Oct 067 Predicted 15 Oct-17 Oct 068/068/068 90 Day Mean 14 Oct 068 V. Geomagnetic A Indices Observed Afr/Ap 13 Oct 002/002 Estimated Afr/Ap 14 Oct 005/005 Predicted Afr/Ap 15 Oct-17 Oct 005/005-005/005-008/010 VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 15 Oct-17 Oct A. Middle Latitudes Active 05/05/15 Minor storm 01/01/10 Major-severe storm 01/01/05 B. High Latitudes Active 10/10/25 Minor storm 01/01/15 Major-severe storm 01/01/10