:Product: 1015RSGA.txt :Issued: 2007 Oct 15 2202 UTC # Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, # Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force. # Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity SDF Number 288 Issued at 2200Z on 15 Oct 2007 IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 14/2100Z to 15/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. There are no spots visible on the solar disk. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low. IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 14/2100Z to 15/2100Z: The geomagnetic field was quiet. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet for 16 October. Expect unsettled conditions with isolated active periods for 17-18 October due to a recurrent coronal hole. III. Event Probabilities 16 Oct-18 Oct Class M 01/01/01 Class X 01/01/01 Proton 01/01/01 PCAF Green IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux Observed 15 Oct 067 Predicted 16 Oct-18 Oct 067/067/067 90 Day Mean 15 Oct 068 V. Geomagnetic A Indices Observed Afr/Ap 14 Oct 003/005 Estimated Afr/Ap 15 Oct 003/005 Predicted Afr/Ap 16 Oct-18 Oct 005/005-008/010-008/010 VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 16 Oct-18 Oct A. Middle Latitudes Active 05/10/10 Minor storm 01/05/05 Major-severe storm 01/01/01 B. High Latitudes Active 10/15/15 Minor storm 01/10/10 Major-severe storm 01/05/05