:Product: 1115RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2007 Nov 15 2203 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 319 Issued at 2200Z on 15 Nov 2007
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  14/2100Z
to 15/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low. The visible disk remained
spotless. A CME departed the southwest limb late on 14 November, but
was not Earth-directed.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to remain
very low.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 14/2100Z to 15/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled with periods of active
to minor storm levels detected at high latitudes. ACE solar wind
measurements indicated Earth remained under the influence of a
recurrent coronal hole high-speed stream.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at mostly quiet levels during the period.
III.  Event Probabilities 16 Nov-18 Nov
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       Green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           15 Nov 069
Predicted   16 Nov-18 Nov  069/069/069
90 Day Mean        15 Nov 068
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 14 Nov  009/009
Estimated Afr/Ap 15 Nov  005/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 16 Nov-18 Nov  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 16 Nov-18 Nov
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                10/10/10
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                20/15/15
Minor storm           10/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01