:Product: 0103RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2008 Jan 03 2340 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 003 Issued at 2200Z on 03 Jan 2008
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  02/2100Z
to 03/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low.  No significant flares
occurred during the past 24 hours.  Region 980 (S06E42) has decayed
to an Hsx alpha sunspot group.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low.  A chance remains for an isolated C-class flare from
Region 980.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 02/2100Z to 03/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled with isolated active periods for
the next two days (4-5 January).  This elevated activity may result
from transients associated with recent C-class flares. 
Predominantly quiet conditions should return on 6 January.
III.  Event Probabilities 04 Jan-06 Jan
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           03 Jan 079
Predicted   04 Jan-06 Jan  080/080/085
90 Day Mean        03 Jan 072
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 02 Jan  001/001
Estimated Afr/Ap 03 Jan  001/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 04 Jan-06 Jan  008/010-008/010-005/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 04 Jan-06 Jan
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                20/20/15
Minor storm           10/10/05
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                25/25/20
Minor storm           15/15/05
Major-severe storm    05/05/01