:Product: 0110RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2008 Jan 10 2202 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 010 Issued at 2200Z on 10 Jan 2008
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  09/2100Z
to 10/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low.  No flares were observed
over the past 24 hours.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 09/2100Z to 10/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet.  The greater than 2 MeV electron
flux at geosynchronous orbit was at high levels.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly quiet for 11-12 January.  Unsettled to
isolated active conditions are expected on 13 January as a recurrent
coronal hole becomes geoeffective.
III.  Event Probabilities 11 Jan-13 Jan
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           10 Jan 076
Predicted   11 Jan-13 Jan  075/075/070
90 Day Mean        10 Jan 073
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 09 Jan  006/006
Estimated Afr/Ap 10 Jan  005/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 11 Jan-13 Jan  005/005-005/005-012/015
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 11 Jan-13 Jan
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                10/10/20
Minor storm           05/05/15
Major-severe storm    01/01/05
B.  High Latitudes
Active                10/10/25
Minor storm           05/05/20
Major-severe storm    01/01/10