:Product: 0203RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2008 Feb 03 2203 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 034 Issued at 2200Z on 03 Feb 2008
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  02/2100Z
to 03/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 02/2100Z to 03/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was at mostly unsettled levels. Solar wind
speed remained elevated due to an ongoing high speed stream. The
greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at high
levels again today.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled with isolated active periods
through day 1 (04 February). Activity is expected to diminish to
mostly quiet levels on days 2 and 3 (05-06 February) with the
departure of the high speed stream.
III.  Event Probabilities 04 Feb-06 Feb
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           03 Feb 071
Predicted   04 Feb-06 Feb  070/070/070
90 Day Mean        03 Feb 075
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 02 Feb  019/019
Estimated Afr/Ap 03 Feb  012/012
Predicted Afr/Ap 04 Feb-06 Feb  010/010-005/005-005/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 04 Feb-06 Feb
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                40/10/10
Minor storm           05/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                45/10/10
Minor storm           15/05/05
Major-severe storm    05/01/01