:Product: 0205RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2008 Feb 05 2203 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 036 Issued at 2200Z on 05 Feb 2008
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  04/2100Z
to 05/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low for the next 3 days (06-08 February).
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 04/2100Z to 05/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels. Solar wind speed at ACE
continues its downward trend with current values around 420 km/s.
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at
high levels again today.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at predominately quiet levels for the next two days
(06-07 February). Activity is expected to be unsettled on the third
day (08 February).
III.  Event Probabilities 06 Feb-08 Feb
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           05 Feb 071
Predicted   06 Feb-08 Feb  070/070/070
90 Day Mean        05 Feb 075
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 04 Feb  006/006
Estimated Afr/Ap 05 Feb  005/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 06 Feb-08 Feb  005/005-005/005-010/010
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 06 Feb-08 Feb
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                10/10/10
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                10/10/10
Minor storm           05/05/05
Major-severe storm    01/01/01