:Product: 0207RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2008 Feb 07 2203 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 038 Issued at 2200Z on 07 Feb 2008
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  06/2100Z
to 07/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low. No flares occurred. The
visible disk remained spotless.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 06/2100Z to 07/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled. The greater than 2 MeV
electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels during the
period.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled during days 1 - 2 (08 - 09 Feb).
Activity is expected to increase to unsettled to active levels on
day 3 (10 Feb) due to a recurrent coronal hole high-speed stream.
III.  Event Probabilities 08 Feb-10 Feb
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           07 Feb 071
Predicted   08 Feb-10 Feb  070/070/070
90 Day Mean        07 Feb 075
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 06 Feb  002/004
Estimated Afr/Ap 07 Feb  005/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 08 Feb-10 Feb  007/008-010/012-015/015
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 08 Feb-10 Feb
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                15/25/40
Minor storm           01/01/10
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                20/30/40
Minor storm           01/05/15
Major-severe storm    01/01/01