:Product: 0226RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2008 Feb 26 2203 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 057 Issued at 2200Z on 26 Feb 2008
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  25/2100Z
to 26/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low. The only region on the
visible disk is Region 983 (S06W54).
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 25/2100Z to 26/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet.  The greater than 2 MeV electron
flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels again today.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled on day one (27 February). 
Unsettled to active conditions are expected on days two and three
(28 - 29 February) with isolated minor storm levels possible at high
latitudes.  The increase in activity is due to a recurrent coronal
hole high speed wind stream.
III.  Event Probabilities 27 Feb-29 Feb
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       Green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           26 Feb 071
Predicted   27 Feb-29 Feb  070/070/070
90 Day Mean        26 Feb 075
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 25 Feb  001/003
Estimated Afr/Ap 26 Feb  003/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 27 Feb-29 Feb  007/008-010/015-012/015
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 27 Feb-29 Feb
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                15/20/25
Minor storm           05/05/05
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                20/30/30
Minor storm           05/10/10
Major-severe storm    01/05/05