:Product: 0308RSGA.txt :Issued: 2008 Mar 08 2203 UTC # Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, # Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force. # Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity SDF Number 068 Issued at 2200Z on 08 Mar 2008 IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 07/2100Z to 08/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. The visible disk is spotless. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to continue at very low levels. IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 07/2100Z to 08/2100Z: The geomagnetic field was quiet to active. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels again today. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to range from quiet to active with isolated minor storm periods possible on day one (09 March). Isolated major storm periods are possible at high latitudes during this period. The increase in activity is due to a recurrent coronal hole high speed stream. Quiet to active levels are expected on days two and three (10-11 March) as the effects of the coronal hole high speed stream begin to wane. III. Event Probabilities 09 Mar-11 Mar Class M 01/01/01 Class X 01/01/01 Proton 01/01/01 PCAF Green IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux Observed 08 Mar 070 Predicted 09 Mar-11 Mar 070/070/070 90 Day Mean 08 Mar 074 V. Geomagnetic A Indices Observed Afr/Ap 07 Mar 001/003 Estimated Afr/Ap 08 Mar 012/012 Predicted Afr/Ap 09 Mar-11 Mar 020/020-010/010-010/010 VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 09 Mar-11 Mar A. Middle Latitudes Active 50/30/30 Minor storm 25/15/15 Major-severe storm 15/05/05 B. High Latitudes Active 55/35/35 Minor storm 25/20/20 Major-severe storm 15/05/05