:Product: 0414RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2008 Apr 14 2203 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 105 Issued at 2200Z on 14 Apr 2008
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  13/2100Z
to 14/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low. No flares were observed in
the past 24 hours. New Region 990 (N26E20) was numbered today. The
magnetic polarity (negative leader, positive trailer) of Region 990
is consistent with a new cycle sunspot.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 13/2100Z to 14/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux
at geosynchronous orbit was high during the past 24 hours.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet.
III.  Event Probabilities 15 Apr-17 Apr
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       Green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           14 Apr 069
Predicted   15 Apr-17 Apr  070/070/070
90 Day Mean        14 Apr 072
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 13 Apr  006/007
Estimated Afr/Ap 14 Apr  005/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 15 Apr-17 Apr  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 15 Apr-17 Apr
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                10/10/10
Minor storm           05/05/05
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                15/15/15
Minor storm           05/05/05
Major-severe storm    01/01/01