:Product: 0515RSGA.txt :Issued: 2008 May 15 2203 UTC # Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, # Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force. # Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity SDF Number 136 Issued at 2200Z on 15 May 2008 IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 14/2100Z to 15/2100Z: Solar activity was at very low levels. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to remain at very low levels. IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 14/2100Z to 15/2100Z: The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to remain at quiet levels for the forecast period (16 - 18 May). III. Event Probabilities 16 May-18 May Class M 01/01/01 Class X 01/01/01 Proton 01/01/01 PCAF green IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux Observed 15 May 071 Predicted 16 May-18 May 070/070/070 90 Day Mean 15 May 071 V. Geomagnetic A Indices Observed Afr/Ap 14 May 001/003 Estimated Afr/Ap 15 May 003/005 Predicted Afr/Ap 16 May-18 May 005/005-005/005-005/005 VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 16 May-18 May A. Middle Latitudes Active 10/10/10 Minor storm 05/05/05 Major-severe storm 01/01/01 B. High Latitudes Active 10/10/10 Minor storm 05/05/05 Major-severe storm 01/01/01