:Product: 0526RSGA.txt :Issued: 2008 May 26 2203 UTC # Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, # Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force. # Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity SDF Number 147 Issued at 2200Z on 26 May 2008 IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 25/2100Z to 26/2100Z: Solar activity was at very low levels. New Region 997 (S08W01) was numbered today. Region 997 is an Axx group in an alpha magnetic configuration and has two spots that were seen in white-light imagery. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to remain at very low levels. IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 25/2100Z to 26/2100Z: The geomagnetic field was at predominately quiet levels. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels again today. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be at mostly quiet levels for days one and two (27 and 28 May). Activity is expected to increase to quiet to unsettled levels with a chance for isolated active conditions on day three (29 May), due to a coronal hole high speed stream rotating into a geoeffective position. III. Event Probabilities 27 May-29 May Class M 01/01/01 Class X 01/01/01 Proton 01/01/01 PCAF green IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux Observed 26 May 068 Predicted 27 May-29 May 068/068/068 90 Day Mean 26 May 071 V. Geomagnetic A Indices Observed Afr/Ap 25 May 007/006 Estimated Afr/Ap 26 May 003/008 Predicted Afr/Ap 27 May-29 May 005/005-005/005-008/010 VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 27 May-29 May A. Middle Latitudes Active 10/10/20 Minor storm 05/05/05 Major-severe storm 01/01/01 B. High Latitudes Active 10/10/25 Minor storm 05/05/05 Major-severe storm 01/01/01