:Product: 0613RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2008 Jun 13 2203 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 165 Issued at 2200Z on 13 Jun 2008
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  12/2100Z
to 13/2100Z:  Solar activity was at very low levels.  Region 998
(S10E12) decayed slightly in area from 30 millionths to 20
millionths during the summary period.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to remain
at very low levels.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 12/2100Z to 13/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to remain at quiet levels for days one and two (14 and 15
June) of the forecast period.  Conditions are expected to increase
to quiet to unsettled levels with a slight chance of isolated active
periods on day three (16 June) due to a coronal hole high speed
stream rotating into a geoeffective position.
III.  Event Probabilities 14 Jun-16 Jun
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           13 Jun 067
Predicted   14 Jun-16 Jun  067/067/067
90 Day Mean        13 Jun 070
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 12 Jun  002/003
Estimated Afr/Ap 13 Jun  002/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 14 Jun-16 Jun  005/005-005/005-010/010
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 14 Jun-16 Jun
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                10/10/20
Minor storm           01/01/15
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                10/10/20
Minor storm           01/01/15
Major-severe storm    01/01/01