:Product: 0619RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2008 Jun 19 2203 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 171 Issued at 2200Z on 19 Jun 2008
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  18/2100Z
to 19/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low.  No flares occurred during
the past 24 hours. Region 999 (S03E20) was quiet and stable.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to remain
very low.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 18/2100Z to 19/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was mostly quiet. Solar wind velocity observed
at ACE showed a steady decline during the past 24 hours, with day
end speeds around 450 km/s.  The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at
geosynchronous orbit was at high levels.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled on the first day (20 June), and is
expected to be predominantly quiet for second and third days (20-21
June).
III.  Event Probabilities 20 Jun-22 Jun
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       Green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           19 Jun 065
Predicted   20 Jun-22 Jun  065/065/065
90 Day Mean        19 Jun 070
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 18 Jun  008/009
Estimated Afr/Ap 19 Jun  005/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 20 Jun-22 Jun  008/008-005/005-005/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 20 Jun-22 Jun
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                25/10/10
Minor storm           05/05/05
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                25/10/10
Minor storm           10/05/05
Major-severe storm    05/01/01