:Product: 0620RSGA.txt :Issued: 2008 Jun 20 2203 UTC # Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, # Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force. # Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity SDF Number 172 Issued at 2200Z on 20 Jun 2008 IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 19/2100Z to 20/2100Z: Solar activity was at very low levels. Region 999 (S02E06) has remained stable over the summary period. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to remain at very low levels. IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 19/2100Z to 20/2100Z: The geomagnetic field was at mostly quiet to unsettled levels. There was an isolated period of active conditions observed from 0300 - 0600Z on 20 June, due to sustained southward Bz and elevated wind speeds. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be at predominately quiet levels for the forecast period (21 to 23 June). III. Event Probabilities 21 Jun-23 Jun Class M 01/01/01 Class X 01/01/01 Proton 01/01/01 PCAF Green IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux Observed 20 Jun 065 Predicted 21 Jun-23 Jun 065/065/065 90 Day Mean 20 Jun 070 V. Geomagnetic A Indices Observed Afr/Ap 19 Jun 005/006 Estimated Afr/Ap 20 Jun 007/008 Predicted Afr/Ap 21 Jun-23 Jun 005/005-005/005-005/005 VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 21 Jun-23 Jun A. Middle Latitudes Active 05/05/05 Minor storm 01/01/01 Major-severe storm 01/01/01 B. High Latitudes Active 05/05/05 Minor storm 01/01/01 Major-severe storm 01/01/01