:Product: 0621RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2008 Jun 21 2203 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 173 Issued at 2200Z on 21 Jun 2008
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  20/2100Z
to 21/2100Z:  Solar activity was at very low levels.  Region 999
(S02W08) remained stable over the period.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to remain
at very low levels.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 20/2100Z to 21/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was at mostly quiet levels.  Solar wind
velocities gradually decayed from a peak of near 600 km/s at the
beginning of the period to about 500 km/s at forecast issue time.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at mostly quiet levels for the forecast period (22 to
24 June).
III.  Event Probabilities 22 Jun-24 Jun
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       Green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           21 Jun 065
Predicted   22 Jun-24 Jun  065/065/065
90 Day Mean        21 Jun 070
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 20 Jun  008/011
Estimated Afr/Ap 21 Jun  007/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 22 Jun-24 Jun  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 22 Jun-24 Jun
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                10/10/10
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                10/10/10
Minor storm           05/05/05
Major-severe storm    01/01/01