:Product: 0707RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2008 Jul 07 2203 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 189 Issued at 2200Z on 07 Jul 2008
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  06/2100Z
to 07/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low. No flares were observed.
The visible disk was spotless.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 06/2100Z to 07/2100Z:
Geomagnetic field activity was at quiet levels.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  Geomagnetic field activity is
expected to be at quiet levels during days 1 - 2 (July 08 - 09).
Activity is expected to increase to unsettled levels on day 3 (10
July) with active levels possible at high latitudes due to a
corotating interaction region in advance of a recurrent coronal hole
high-speed stream.
III.  Event Probabilities 08 Jul-10 Jul
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       Green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           07 Jul 066
Predicted   08 Jul-10 Jul  066/066/066
90 Day Mean        07 Jul 068
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 06 Jul  005/004
Estimated Afr/Ap 07 Jul  005/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 08 Jul-10 Jul  005/005-005/005-008/008
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 08 Jul-10 Jul
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                05/05/10
Minor storm           01/01/05
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                10/10/25
Minor storm           01/01/10
Major-severe storm    01/01/01