:Product: 0708RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2008 Jul 08 2203 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 190 Issued at 2200Z on 08 Jul 2008
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  07/2100Z
to 08/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low.  No flares were observed
during the past 24 hours, and the visible disk remained spotless.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 07/2100Z to 08/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet on day one (09 July). An increase to unsettled
conditions is expected on day two (10 July), with active conditions
possible at high latitudes, due to a recurrent co-rotating
interaction region. Unsettled to active conditions are expected on
day three (11 July), with isolated minor storm periods possible as a
coronal hole high speed stream rotates into a geoeffective position.
III.  Event Probabilities 09 Jul-11 Jul
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       Green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           08 Jul 066
Predicted   09 Jul-11 Jul  066/066/066
90 Day Mean        08 Jul 068
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 07 Jul  002/003
Estimated Afr/Ap 08 Jul  002/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 09 Jul-11 Jul  005/005-008/010-015/015
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 09 Jul-11 Jul
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                05/15/25
Minor storm           01/05/15
Major-severe storm    01/01/05
B.  High Latitudes
Active                10/25/30
Minor storm           01/10/15
Major-severe storm    01/01/05