:Product: 0709RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2008 Jul 09 2203 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 191 Issued at 2200Z on 09 Jul 2008
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  08/2100Z
to 09/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 08/2100Z to 09/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels for 10 July.  Unsettled
to active conditions, with isolated minor storm periods, are
expected for 11-12 July.  An increase in activity is expected due to
a recurrent coronal hole high speed stream.
III.  Event Probabilities 10 Jul-12 Jul
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       Green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           09 Jul 066
Predicted   10 Jul-12 Jul  066/066/066
90 Day Mean        09 Jul 068
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 08 Jul  001/002
Estimated Afr/Ap 09 Jul  003/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 10 Jul-12 Jul  008/010-015/015-015/020
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 10 Jul-12 Jul
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                15/25/30
Minor storm           05/15/15
Major-severe storm    01/05/05
B.  High Latitudes
Active                25/30/35
Minor storm           10/15/20
Major-severe storm    01/05/10