:Product: 0714RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2008 Jul 14 2203 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 196 Issued at 2200Z on 14 Jul 2008
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  13/2100Z
to 14/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low.  The visible disk remained
spotless.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to remain
very low.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 13/2100Z to 14/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled.  The recurrent coronal
hole high speed stream remained geoeffective.  Solar wind speed
measured at the ACE spacecraft ranged from approximately 650 km/s to
730 km/s.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be unsettled on Day 1 (15 July), becoming quiet on Day 2
(16 July). Activity is expected to be quiet to unsettled on Day 3
(17 July).
III.  Event Probabilities 15 Jul-17 Jul
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       Green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           14 Jul 066
Predicted   15 Jul-17 Jul  066/066/066
90 Day Mean        14 Jul 067
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 13 Jul  010/014
Estimated Afr/Ap 14 Jul  010/010
Predicted Afr/Ap 15 Jul-17 Jul  008/010-005/005-008/010
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 15 Jul-17 Jul
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                15/05/15
Minor storm           05/01/05
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                20/10/20
Minor storm           05/01/05
Major-severe storm    01/01/01