:Product: 0715RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2008 Jul 15 2203 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 197 Issued at 2200Z on 15 Jul 2008
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  14/2100Z
to 15/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low. The visible disk remained
spotless.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to remain
very low.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 14/2100Z to 15/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled. Solar wind speed
measured at the ACE spacecraft showed a gradual decrease from 670 to
580 km/s. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous
orbit reached high levels.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled for the next three days (16-18
July).
III.  Event Probabilities 16 Jul-18 Jul
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       Green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           15 Jul 066
Predicted   16 Jul-18 Jul  066/066/066
90 Day Mean        15 Jul 067
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 14 Jul  009/010
Estimated Afr/Ap 15 Jul  008/010
Predicted Afr/Ap 16 Jul-18 Jul  005/008-008/010-005/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 16 Jul-18 Jul
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                10/15/10
Minor storm           01/05/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                15/20/15
Minor storm           01/05/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01