:Product: 0716RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2008 Jul 16 2203 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 198 Issued at 2200Z on 16 Jul 2008
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  15/2100Z
to 16/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low. The visible disk remained
spotless.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to remain
very low.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 15/2100Z to 16/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled. Solar wind speed
measured at the ACE spacecraft showed a gradual decrease from 595 to
530 km/s. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous
orbit reached high levels.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled for the next three days (17-19
July).
III.  Event Probabilities 17 Jul-19 Jul
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       Green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           16 Jul 065
Predicted   17 Jul-19 Jul  066/066/066
90 Day Mean        16 Jul 067
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 15 Jul  007/007
Estimated Afr/Ap 16 Jul  005/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 17 Jul-19 Jul  008/008-005/010-005/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 17 Jul-19 Jul
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                15/10/05
Minor storm           05/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                20/10/10
Minor storm           05/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01