:Product: 0806RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2008 Aug 07 1940 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 219 Issued at 2200Z on 06 Aug 2008
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  05/2100Z
to 06/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low. The solar disk was
spotless. No flares were observed during the past 24 hours.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 05/2100Z to 06/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled on day one (7 August), and
unsettled to active on days two and three (8-9 August). The increase
in activity is forecast due to a corotatng interaction region.
III.  Event Probabilities 07 Aug-09 Aug
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           06 Aug 067
Predicted   07 Aug-09 Aug  066/066/066
90 Day Mean        06 Aug 067
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 05 Aug  003/003
Estimated Afr/Ap 06 Aug  005/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 07 Aug-09 Aug  007/008-010/015-015/020
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 07 Aug-09 Aug
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                10/30/35
Minor storm           01/01/05
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                15/30/40
Minor storm           01/15/20
Major-severe storm    01/01/01