:Product: 0807RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2008 Aug 07 2210 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 220 Issued at 2200Z on 07 Aug 2008
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  06/2100Z
to 07/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low. The visible disk was
spotless. No flares were observed during the past 24 hours.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 06/2100Z to 07/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be unsettled with a chance of active periods for day one
(08 August). Unsettled to active conditions are expected for day two
(09 August), with mostly unsettled conditions expected for day three
(10 August). The increase in activity is forecast due to a
corotating interaction region followed by a high speed coronal hole
stream.
III.  Event Probabilities 08 Aug-10 Aug
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           07 Aug 066
Predicted   08 Aug-10 Aug  066/066/066
90 Day Mean        07 Aug 067
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 06 Aug  005/004
Estimated Afr/Ap 07 Aug  004/004
Predicted Afr/Ap 08 Aug-10 Aug  010/015-015/020-010/010
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 08 Aug-10 Aug
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                30/35/20
Minor storm           01/05/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                30/40/25
Minor storm           15/20/10
Major-severe storm    01/01/01