:Product: 0822RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2008 Aug 22 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 235 Issued at 2200Z on 22 Aug 2008
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  21/2100Z
to 22/2100Z:  Solar activity was at very low levels.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to remain
at very low levels.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 21/2100Z to 22/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels.  The greater than 2 MeV
electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet levels through the forecast period (23 to 25
August).  On day two (24 August) isolated unsettled periods are
possible due to a recurrent solar sector boundary crossing.
III.  Event Probabilities 23 Aug-25 Aug
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       Green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           22 Aug 068
Predicted   23 Aug-25 Aug  068/068/068
90 Day Mean        22 Aug 066
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 21 Aug  004/004
Estimated Afr/Ap 22 Aug  003/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 23 Aug-25 Aug  005/005-008/008-005/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 23 Aug-25 Aug
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                05/10/05
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                05/15/05
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01