:Product: 0903RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2008 Sep 03 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 247 Issued at 2200Z on 03 Sep 2008
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  02/2100Z
to 03/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low. No flares occurred during
the past 24 hours. The solar disk continues to be spotless.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 02/2100Z to 03/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was mostly quiet during the past 24 hours.
Solar wind signatures at ACE indicated the passage of a corotating
interaction region followed by a slow steady rise in solar wind
velocity.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly unsettled with occasional active periods for
the next two days (4-5 September) due to the influence of a
favorably positioned coronal hole. Activity levels are expected to
decline to predominantly unsettled for the third day (6 September).
III.  Event Probabilities 04 Sep-06 Sep
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       Green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           03 Sep 066
Predicted   04 Sep-06 Sep  066/066/066
90 Day Mean        03 Sep 066
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 02 Sep  002/003
Estimated Afr/Ap 03 Sep  007/008
Predicted Afr/Ap 04 Sep-06 Sep  012/012-012/018-010/012
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 04 Sep-06 Sep
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                40/40/20
Minor storm           15/15/05
Major-severe storm    05/05/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                50/50/30
Minor storm           20/20/10
Major-severe storm    10/10/05