:Product: 0909RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2008 Sep 09 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 253 Issued at 2200Z on 09 Sep 2008
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  08/2100Z
to 09/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low. No flares occurred during
the past 24 hours. The solar disk remained spotless.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 08/2100Z to 09/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was predominantly quiet. The greater than 2 MeV
electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels during the
past 24 hours.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled on day one (10 September). Quiet
conditions are expected for days two and three (11-12 September).
III.  Event Probabilities 10 Sep-12 Sep
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       Green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           09 Sep 067
Predicted   10 Sep-12 Sep  066/066/066
90 Day Mean        09 Sep 066
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 08 Sep  009/008
Estimated Afr/Ap 09 Sep  005/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 10 Sep-12 Sep  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 10 Sep-12 Sep
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                10/10/05
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                15/15/10
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01