:Product: 1002RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2008 Oct 02 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 276 Issued at 2200Z on 02 Oct 2008
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  01/2100Z
to 02/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 01/2100Z to 02/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to active levels.  Observations
from the ACE spacecraft indicate solar wind speeds averaging around
700 km/s.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at mostly unsettled conditions with isolated active
periods for 03 October.  Quiet to unsettled levels are expected for
04-05 October.
III.  Event Probabilities 03 Oct-05 Oct
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       Green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           02 Oct 066
Predicted   03 Oct-05 Oct  066/066/066
90 Day Mean        02 Oct 066
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 01 Oct  007/006
Estimated Afr/Ap 02 Oct  010/015
Predicted Afr/Ap 03 Oct-05 Oct  008/010-007/008-007/008
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 03 Oct-05 Oct
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                10/05/05
Minor storm           05/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                20/10/10
Minor storm           10/05/05
Major-severe storm    05/01/01