:Product: 1005RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2008 Oct 05 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 279 Issued at 2200Z on 05 Oct 2008
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  04/2100Z
to 05/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low.  No flares were observed. 
Region 1003 (S23E15) decayed to spotless plage.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 04/2100Z to 05/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was mostly quiet as the high speed wind stream
gradually waned.  Solar wind velocities, as measured at the ACE
satellite, steadily decreased in velocity, and ended the period at
about 475 km/s.  The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at
geosynchronous orbit reached high levels again today.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at mostly quiet levels all three days of the forecast
period (06 - 08 October).
III.  Event Probabilities 06 Oct-08 Oct
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       Green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           05 Oct 067
Predicted   06 Oct-08 Oct  067/067/067
90 Day Mean        05 Oct 066
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 04 Oct  008/011
Estimated Afr/Ap 05 Oct  005/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 06 Oct-08 Oct  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 06 Oct-08 Oct
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                10/10/10
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                10/10/10
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01