:Product: 1006RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2008 Oct 06 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 280 Issued at 2200Z on 06 Oct 2008
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  05/2100Z
to 06/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low.  No flares were observed. 
A slow moving CME off the west limb was observed in C2 imagery
beginning at 05/1946Z.  The CME is not expected to be geoeffective.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 05/2100Z to 06/2100Z:
Geomagnetic activity was mostly quiet.  The greater than 2 MeV
electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels again
today.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at mostly quiet levels all three days of the forecast
period (07 - 09 October).
III.  Event Probabilities 07 Oct-09 Oct
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       Green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           06 Oct 067
Predicted   07 Oct-09 Oct  067/067/067
90 Day Mean        06 Oct 066
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 05 Oct  003/004
Estimated Afr/Ap 06 Oct  003/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 07 Oct-09 Oct  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 07 Oct-09 Oct
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                10/10/10
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                10/10/10
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01