:Product: 1009RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2008 Oct 09 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 283 Issued at 2200Z on 09 Oct 2008
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  08/2100Z
to 09/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 08/2100Z to 09/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet.  The greater than 2 MeV electron
flux at geosynchronous orbit was at high levels.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet levels for 10-11 October.  Unsettled to
active conditions with isolated minor storm levels at high latitudes
are expected for 12 October due to a recurrent coronal hole high
speed stream.
III.  Event Probabilities 10 Oct-12 Oct
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       Green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           09 Oct 069
Predicted   10 Oct-12 Oct  068/068/068
90 Day Mean        09 Oct 067
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 08 Oct  002/002
Estimated Afr/Ap 09 Oct  002/002
Predicted Afr/Ap 10 Oct-12 Oct  005/005-005/005-012/015
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 10 Oct-12 Oct
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                05/05/30
Minor storm           01/01/10
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                10/10/40
Minor storm           01/01/20
Major-severe storm    01/01/05