:Product: 1014RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2008 Oct 14 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 288 Issued at 2200Z on 14 Oct 2008
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  13/2100Z
to 14/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low with no flares observed. 
During the period, Region 1005 (N27W02) decayed both in spot count
and areal coverage.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 13/2100Z to 14/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was mostly quiet.  Solar wind velocity, as
measured at the ACE satellite, steadily decayed and ended the period
near 375 km/s.  The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at
geosynchronous orbit was at high levels again today.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet levels all three days of the forecast period
(15 - 17 October).
III.  Event Probabilities 15 Oct-17 Oct
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       Green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           14 Oct 070
Predicted   15 Oct-17 Oct  072/073/075
90 Day Mean        14 Oct 067
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 13 Oct  007/009
Estimated Afr/Ap 14 Oct  006/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 15 Oct-17 Oct  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 15 Oct-17 Oct
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                10/10/10
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                10/10/10
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01