:Product: 1018RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2008 Oct 18 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 292 Issued at 2200Z on 18 Oct 2008
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  17/2100Z
to 18/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low. An A9 X-ray flare occurred
at 18/1200Z with no obvious optical flare association. The visible
disk was spotless. Region 1006 (N26W91) rotated out of view during
the period.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 17/2100Z to 18/2100Z:
Geomagnetic activity was at quiet levels at all latitudes. The
greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was high.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  Geomagnetic activity is
expected to be at mostly quiet levels during the period (19 - 21
October).
III.  Event Probabilities 19 Oct-21 Oct
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       Green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           18 Oct 069
Predicted   19 Oct-21 Oct  069/069/068
90 Day Mean        18 Oct 067
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 17 Oct  001/002
Estimated Afr/Ap 18 Oct  002/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 19 Oct-21 Oct  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 19 Oct-21 Oct
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                05/05/01
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                10/10/05
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01