:Product: 1019RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2008 Oct 19 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 293 Issued at 2200Z on 19 Oct 2008
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  18/2100Z
to 19/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low. No flares were observed.
The visible disk was spotless.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 18/2100Z to 19/2100Z:
Geomagnetic field activity was at quiet to unsettled levels. The
greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached
high levels during the period.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at mostly quiet levels during the period (20 - 22
October).
III.  Event Probabilities 20 Oct-22 Oct
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       Green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           19 Oct 070
Predicted   20 Oct-22 Oct  069/069/068
90 Day Mean        19 Oct 067
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 18 Oct  001/001
Estimated Afr/Ap 19 Oct  005/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 20 Oct-22 Oct  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 20 Oct-22 Oct
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                05/05/01
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                10/10/05
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01