:Product: 1030RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2008 Oct 30 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 304 Issued at 2200Z on 30 Oct 2008
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  29/2100Z
to 30/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low. No flares were observed.
New-cycle polarity Region 1007 (N35E15) was numbered today.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 29/2100Z to 30/2100Z:
Geomagnetic field activity was at quiet to active levels. ACE solar
wind measurements indicated Earth remained within a recurrent
coronal hole high-speed stream. Solar wind velocities ranged from
632 to 723 km/sec during the period. IMF Bz varied from 06 to -05 nT
during the period. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at
geosynchronous orbit increased to high levels at 30/1605Z.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  Geomagnetic field activity is
expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels on day 1 (31 October)
with a chance for active levels at high latitudes. Mostly quiet
levels are expected during days 2 - 3 (01 - 02 November).
III.  Event Probabilities 31 Oct-02 Nov
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       Green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           30 Oct 067
Predicted   31 Oct-02 Nov  068/069/069
90 Day Mean        30 Oct 067
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 29 Oct  016/011
Estimated Afr/Ap 30 Oct  013/010
Predicted Afr/Ap 31 Oct-02 Nov  008/008-005/005-005/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 31 Oct-02 Nov
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                20/15/05
Minor storm           10/05/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                25/20/10
Minor storm           15/05/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01