:Product: 1102RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2008 Nov 02 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 307 Issued at 2200Z on 02 Nov 2008
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  01/2100Z
to 02/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low. Region 1007 (N35W25), a
beta magnetic configuration, has eight spots visible in white light.
A CME was observed on the west limb at approximately 03:30Z, but is
not expected to be geoeffective.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low. Region 1007 has a slight chance of producing a C-class flare.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 01/2100Z to 02/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels. The greater than 2 MeV
electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels during the
period.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly quiet for the next three days (03 - 05
November).
III.  Event Probabilities 03 Nov-05 Nov
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       Green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           02 Nov 069
Predicted   03 Nov-05 Nov  069/069/069
90 Day Mean        02 Nov 067
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 01 Nov  000/001
Estimated Afr/Ap 02 Nov  005/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 03 Nov-05 Nov  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 03 Nov-05 Nov
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                05/05/05
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                10/10/10
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01