:Product: 1103RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2008 Nov 03 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 308 Issued at 2200Z on 03 Nov 2008
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  02/2100Z
to 03/2100Z:  Solar activity was low. Region 1007 (N35W38) produced a
C1.6 flare at 1119Z. Region 1007 is a beta magnetic configuration
and has grown slightly from approximately 20 millionths to 80
millionths.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low. Region 1007 has a chance of producing a C-class flare.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 02/2100Z to 03/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels. The greater than 2 MeV
electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels during the
period.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly quiet for the next three days (04-06
November).
III.  Event Probabilities 04 Nov-06 Nov
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       Green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           03 Nov 070
Predicted   04 Nov-06 Nov  069/069/069
90 Day Mean        03 Nov 067
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 02 Nov  002/002
Estimated Afr/Ap 03 Nov  005/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 04 Nov-06 Nov  005/005-005/005-005/008
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 04 Nov-06 Nov
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                05/05/05
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                10/10/10
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01