:Product: 1109RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2008 Nov 09 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 314 Issued at 2200Z on 09 Nov 2008
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  08/2100Z
to 09/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low. No flares were observed
during the past 24 hours. The solar disk was void of spots.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 08/2100Z to 09/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field ranged from quiet to active levels during the
past 24 hours. Activity levels were initially quiet but increased to
active levels from 0000-0600Z, then declined to unsettled levels
from 0600-1200Z, and were quiet for the remainder of the interval.
Solar wind observations at ACE indicate a gradual decline in solar
wind velocity (day-end values were around 450 km/s) as the
high-speed stream rotates out of geoeffective position. The greater
than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels
during the past 24 hours.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be predominantly quiet for the next three days (10-12
November).
III.  Event Probabilities 10 Nov-12 Nov
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       Green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           09 Nov 068
Predicted   10 Nov-12 Nov  068/068/068
90 Day Mean        09 Nov 068
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 08 Nov  011/014
Estimated Afr/Ap 09 Nov  012/012
Predicted Afr/Ap 10 Nov-12 Nov  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 10 Nov-12 Nov
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                10/05/05
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                15/05/05
Minor storm           05/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01