:Product: 1111RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2008 Nov 11 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 316 Issued at 2200Z on 11 Nov 2008
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  10/2100Z
to 11/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low during the past 24 hours.
The GOES soft x-ray flux remained below the B1 level throughout the
period. Region 1008 (N33W08) showed slow growth accompanied by
occasional plage fluctuations in H-alpha during the past 24 hours,
but was otherwise quiet and stable.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is generally expected
to be very low for the next three days (12-14 November). However
there is a slight chance for an isolated C-class event from Region
1008.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 10/2100Z to 11/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet during the past 24 hours. The greater
than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high
levels.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet for the next three days (12-14 November).
III.  Event Probabilities 12 Nov-14 Nov
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       Green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           11 Nov 071
Predicted   12 Nov-14 Nov  072/072/072
90 Day Mean        11 Nov 068
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 10 Nov  003/003
Estimated Afr/Ap 11 Nov  005/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 12 Nov-14 Nov  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 12 Nov-14 Nov
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                05/05/05
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                05/05/05
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01