:Product: 1113RSGA.txt :Issued: 2008 Nov 13 2200 UTC # Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, # Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force. # Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity SDF Number 318 Issued at 2200Z on 13 Nov 2008 IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 12/2100Z to 13/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. Region 1008 (N33W38) appears quiet and stable. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low during the forecast period. There is a slight chance of a C- class flare from Region 1008. IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 12/2100Z to 13/2100Z: The geomagnetic field was quiet. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels in the past 24 hours. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet with isolated unsettled conditions possible during the forecast period. III. Event Probabilities 14 Nov-16 Nov Class M 01/01/01 Class X 01/01/01 Proton 01/01/01 PCAF Green IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux Observed 13 Nov ??? Predicted 14 Nov-16 Nov 070/070/068 90 Day Mean 13 Nov 068 V. Geomagnetic A Indices Observed Afr/Ap 12 Nov 004/002 Estimated Afr/Ap 13 Nov 005/005 Predicted Afr/Ap 14 Nov-16 Nov 005/005-007/008-005/005 VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 14 Nov-16 Nov A. Middle Latitudes Active 01/01/01 Minor storm 01/01/01 Major-severe storm 00/00/00 B. High Latitudes Active 01/01/01 Minor storm 01/01/01 Major-severe storm 00/00/00